Tuesday, June 16, 2009


Inconguous results in Iran presidential election 2009

Analysts pore over 'ambiguous' Iran results
By Matt Smith
June 16, 2009

Iranian presidential challenger Mir Hossein Moussavi's hometown of Tabriz is Exhibit A for his supporters as they argue that last week's election was rigged.
Mir Hossein Moussavi lost last week's Iranian presidential election, according to official numbers.

Official results from Friday's polls show that the city and its surrounding province, dominated by ethnic Azeris like Moussavi, voted to re-elect hard-line incumbent President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. It's a result many observers of Iranian politics find incongruous but just one of the things that have raised eyebrows among Western analysts.

There were no exit polls conducted in Friday's balloting and little polling before the election. Nate Silver, who runs the U.S. election Web site fivethirtyeight.com, said the official results were "ambiguous."

"The fact that you had some areas where conservatives got only 20 percent of the vote in 2005 and got 70 percent of the vote this time -- things like that have people who already had doubts about those numbers scratching their heads," Silver said...

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